Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 50.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 76.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Larkin
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Larkin
Scheifele
Last 9: Larkin 5-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
3
Larkin
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
0
Larkin
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Larkin
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
47.8% (960)
+5.8%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
47.0% (219)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
60.7% (28)
-12.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Larkin
Scheifele
Home
56.6% (700)
50.7% (611)
Away
52.1% (655)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Larkin
Scheifele
P1
55.4%
51.4%
P2
54.7%
47.3%
P3
52.7%
45.0%
OT
59.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2023 | 1 | 09:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:33 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |