Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs McCarron 53.4% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 65.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Larkin
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
57.5% (308)
-5.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (2)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
32.6% (43)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Larkin
McCarron
Home
55.6% (662)
48.3% (147)
Away
48.3% (542)
58.7% (206)
By Period
Larkin
McCarron
P1
49.9%
53.4%
P2
52.7%
59.5%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%