Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs McCarron 54.9% (-5.0%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.9%
Defensive zone
McCarron 54.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Larkin
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
62.8% (86)
-9.2%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
50.0% (2)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
44.4% (18)
+4.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. McCarron is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Larkin
McCarron
Home
56.6% (700)
59.5% (42)
Away
52.1% (655)
59.4% (64)
By Period
Larkin
McCarron
P1
55.4%
71.0%
P2
54.7%
48.7%
P3
52.7%
61.1%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.4%