Dylan Larkin vs Michael McCarron

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.8%). Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs McCarron 52.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor McCarron leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 77.7%
Defensive zone McCarron 75.7%
Neutral zone McCarron 53.0%
Result Michael McCarron favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Larkin McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 10 (18 meetings)
8
10
Larkin McCarron
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 McCarron

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
3
Larkin McCarron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
5
Larkin McCarron
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Larkin McCarron
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
53.4% (2,901)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
45.3% (86)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
50.5% (463)
-0.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +13.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
Larkin
McCarron
Home
54.0% (6,238)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
Larkin
McCarron
P1
52.7%
53.9%
P2
53.1%
52.5%
P3
52.1%
52.0%
OT
58.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.7%
McCarron
48.0%
48.5%
52.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 2, 2026 3 00:38 Defensive Michael McCarron
Mar 2, 2026 1 09:44 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 26, 2025 3 05:56 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 26, 2025 2 19:03 Offensive Michael McCarron
Nov 26, 2025 2 13:35 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Nov 26, 2025 2 12:33 Defensive Michael McCarron
Nov 26, 2025 2 04:34 Neutral Michael McCarron
Nov 26, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Oct 19, 2024 2 04:10 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 19, 2024 2 01:58 Defensive Michael McCarron
Oct 12, 2024 1 03:58 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 23, 2024 3 12:41 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 23, 2024 3 12:25 Offensive Michael McCarron
Mar 23, 2024 3 10:40 Defensive Michael McCarron
Mar 23, 2024 2 06:34 Defensive Michael McCarron
Mar 23, 2024 1 07:01 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 29, 2023 2 07:36 Offensive Michael McCarron
Apr 5, 2018 3 03:09 Neutral Michael McCarron