Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.0%). Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Backlund 50.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 65.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 60.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Larkin
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Larkin
Backlund
Last 5: Larkin 4-1 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
51.1% (1,070)
-2.6%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
50.5% (91)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
45.2% (248)
+3.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Backlund is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (844).
Home / Away
Larkin
Backlund
Home
51.4% (652)
49.3% (702)
Away
48.5% (662)
50.7% (708)
By Period
Larkin
Backlund
P1
49.1%
46.3%
P2
52.0%
53.8%
P3
48.0%
49.9%
OT
52.6%
45.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 2 | 08:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |