Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.5%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Geekie 52.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 50.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Larkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
53.2% (615)
-1.4%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
44.4% (36)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
44.4% (18)
+3.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Geekie is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Larkin
Geekie
Home
55.6% (662)
55.0% (331)
Away
48.3% (542)
50.0% (338)
By Period
Larkin
Geekie
P1
49.9%
53.9%
P2
52.7%
56.0%
P3
53.0%
46.5%
OT
68.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |