Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Geekie 47.6% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 78.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 54.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 78.0%
22.0%
78.0%
Larkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Larkin
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
47.0% (117)
+4.7%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
47.1% (34)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
0.0% (3)
+48.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Larkin
Geekie
Home
52.4% (647)
45.3% (75)
Away
52.7% (643)
46.8% (79)
By Period
Larkin
Geekie
P1
52.2%
43.1%
P2
53.1%
48.1%
P3
51.7%
47.5%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 07:19 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |