Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Geekie 49.3% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.9%
Defensive zone
Geekie 70.2%
Neutral zone
Geekie 68.5%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Larkin
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Larkin
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
49.9% (505)
+3.7%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
0.0% (6)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
48.4% (93)
+0.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Geekie is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Larkin
Geekie
Home
56.6% (700)
50.0% (314)
Away
52.1% (655)
48.3% (290)
By Period
Larkin
Geekie
P1
55.4%
51.3%
P2
54.7%
46.9%
P3
52.7%
49.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |