Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Foligno 51.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 59.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Larkin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
58.1% (31)
-6.3%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (2)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
50.0% (6)
-2.6%
On even strength, Foligno has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Larkin
Foligno
Home
55.6% (662)
56.3% (16)
Away
48.3% (542)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Larkin
Foligno
P1
49.9%
50.0%
P2
52.7%
66.7%
P3
53.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |