Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Foligno 52.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 74.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Larkin
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
53.4% (249)
+2.5%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
53.2% (154)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
40.6% (32)
+5.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Larkin
Foligno
Home
56.0% (654)
57.3% (225)
Away
54.8% (639)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Larkin
Foligno
P1
54.4%
53.0%
P2
55.9%
51.8%
P3
55.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |