Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Foligno 52.3% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Larkin
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
52.0% (50)
+1.6%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
66.7% (21)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
0.0% (1)
+48.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +48.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Larkin
Foligno
Home
56.6% (700)
51.2% (41)
Away
52.1% (655)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Larkin
Foligno
P1
55.4%
55.6%
P2
54.7%
48.0%
P3
52.7%
65.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%