Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Paul 50.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.1%
Defensive zone
Paul 60.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.9%
39.1%
60.9%
Larkin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
53.0% (644)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
37.5% (24)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
42.9% (177)
+4.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Larkin
Paul
Home
55.6% (662)
52.5% (516)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Larkin
Paul
P1
49.9%
47.6%
P2
52.7%
48.4%
P3
53.0%
54.5%
OT
68.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |