Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Suzuki 46.8% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 75.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 86.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 75.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 78.7%
78.7%
21.3%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 7: Larkin 6-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
46.6% (582)
+4.4%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
45.0% (60)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
41.2% (17)
+8.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
54.9% (721)
46.0% (350)
Away
49.6% (641)
46.6% (309)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
52.4%
47.6%
P2
50.8%
45.7%
P3
54.4%
46.6%
OT
43.8%
22.2%
Final 5 min
57.8%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 17:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 14:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |