Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Suzuki 49.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.8%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 50.6%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 52.7%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Larkin
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Larkin
Suzuki
Last 8: Larkin 4-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Suzuki
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Suzuki
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
0
3
Larkin
Suzuki
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
50.3% (1,075)
+1.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
49.3% (219)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
43.1% (116)
+4.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,008).
Home / Away
Larkin
Suzuki
Home
55.6% (662)
53.6% (711)
Away
48.3% (542)
45.5% (699)
By Period
Larkin
Suzuki
P1
49.9%
48.5%
P2
52.7%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
49.0%
OT
68.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 06:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 15:41 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 03:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |