Dylan Larkin vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Buchnevich 35.4% (+18.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 96.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 95.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Larkin
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Larkin
Buchnevich
Last 9: Larkin 7-2 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Buchnevich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
2
Larkin
Buchnevich
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
33.7% (895)
+18.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
44.2% (52)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
24.3% (37)
+25.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Larkin
Buchnevich
Home
54.0% (6,238)
34.7% (490)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
33.2% (494)
By Period
Larkin
Buchnevich
P1
52.7%
34.4%
P2
53.1%
33.7%
P3
52.1%
33.4%
OT
58.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
37.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |