Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Buchnevich 45.3% (+19.0%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 53.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Larkin
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
36.7% (30)
+15.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
28.6% (7)
+27.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
0.0% (2)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Larkin
Buchnevich
Home
55.6% (662)
31.3% (16)
Away
48.3% (542)
34.8% (23)
By Period
Larkin
Buchnevich
P1
49.9%
35.7%
P2
52.7%
33.3%
P3
53.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
16.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.3%