Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Buchnevich 41.5% (+18.0%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.7%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 52.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Larkin
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
37.6% (197)
+18.3%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
50.0% (6)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
0.0% (3)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Buchnevich is 38.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Larkin
Buchnevich
Home
56.0% (654)
43.0% (114)
Away
54.8% (639)
30.4% (92)
By Period
Larkin
Buchnevich
P1
54.4%
40.0%
P2
55.9%
35.7%
P3
55.2%
35.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.4%