Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Buchnevich 42.1% (+15.0%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 55.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 72.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Larkin
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
37.7% (154)
+14.0%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
42.9% (14)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
30.0% (10)
+18.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Buchnevich is 34.6% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Larkin
Buchnevich
Home
52.4% (647)
37.4% (91)
Away
52.7% (643)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Larkin
Buchnevich
P1
52.2%
38.9%
P2
53.1%
31.5%
P3
51.7%
42.0%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.6%