Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Buchnevich 41.2% (+17.2%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 53.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Larkin
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
37.0% (211)
+15.6%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
50.0% (10)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
28.6% (7)
+27.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (154).
Home / Away
Larkin
Buchnevich
Home
54.7% (783)
35.6% (87)
Away
54.3% (816)
38.3% (141)
By Period
Larkin
Buchnevich
P1
55.9%
36.3%
P2
56.1%
37.6%
P3
51.1%
38.1%
Final 5 min
51.8%
36.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
37.3%