Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Krebs 45.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 62.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Larkin
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
44.6% (388)
+7.1%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
25.0% (4)
+33.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
45.0% (20)
+3.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +33.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Krebs is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Larkin
Krebs
Home
52.4% (647)
46.8% (188)
Away
52.7% (643)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Larkin
Krebs
P1
52.2%
47.2%
P2
53.1%
44.9%
P3
51.7%
41.1%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |