Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Krebs 45.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 97.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 82.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 90.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 93.2%
93.2%
6.8%
Larkin
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
8
(28 meetings)
20
8
Larkin
Krebs
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
14
3
Larkin
Krebs
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Krebs
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
2
4
Larkin
Krebs
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
46.0% (2,159)
+5.7%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.5% (99)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
38.6% (171)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Krebs is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,544).
Home / Away
Larkin
Krebs
Home
54.0% (6,238)
45.7% (1,182)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
45.8% (1,247)
By Period
Larkin
Krebs
P1
52.7%
45.9%
P2
53.1%
46.4%
P3
52.1%
44.8%
OT
58.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Krebs
48.0%▲
45.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 09:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |