Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 46.2% vs Danault 51.5% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 67.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 65.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Larkin
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Larkin
Danault
Last 7: Larkin 2-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Larkin
Danault
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Larkin
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (391)
51.9% (917)
-6.4%
Power Play
41.4% (29)
52.4% (42)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
48.6% (72)
+1.4%
On power play, Danault has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Larkin is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Larkin shoots left. Danault is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Larkin
Danault
Home
47.0% (181)
53.7% (477)
Away
44.2% (251)
50.0% (554)
By Period
Larkin
Danault
P1
42.7%
52.4%
P2
52.4%
47.3%
P3
41.8%
55.6%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:34 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 17:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 11:01 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 2 | 09:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 26, 2016 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |