Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Danault 54.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 59.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 50.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Larkin
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Larkin
Danault
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
3
Larkin
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
56.5% (711)
-4.8%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
46.0% (50)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
51.7% (116)
-3.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Larkin
Danault
Home
52.4% (647)
57.0% (379)
Away
52.7% (643)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Larkin
Danault
P1
52.2%
55.8%
P2
53.1%
55.3%
P3
51.7%
54.8%
OT
61.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |