Dylan Larkin vs Phillip Danault
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.3%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 51 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Danault 53.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 83-63 in 146 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Danault 54.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Larkin
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
63
-
83
(146 meetings)
63
83
Larkin
Danault
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
24
19
Larkin
Danault
43 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
17
34
Larkin
Danault
51 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
22
30
Larkin
Danault
52 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
53.6% (9,447)
-1.9%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
61.4% (757)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
47.4% (1,702)
+2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Danault is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,872).
Home / Away
Larkin
Danault
Home
54.0% (6,238)
54.2% (5,820)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
52.3% (6,086)
By Period
Larkin
Danault
P1
52.7%
53.7%
P2
53.1%
53.5%
P3
52.1%
52.7%
OT
58.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |