Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.4% vs 54.4%). Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Danault 54.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 66.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 58.4%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Larkin
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Larkin
Danault
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Larkin
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Danault
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
55.1% (953)
-1.5%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
64.6% (144)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
42.0% (176)
+6.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Larkin
Danault
Home
56.6% (700)
55.4% (641)
Away
52.1% (655)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Larkin
Danault
P1
55.4%
61.0%
P2
54.7%
52.3%
P3
52.7%
51.3%
OT
59.1%
35.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 15:31 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:29 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 19:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:40 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |