Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Danault 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 54.3%
Defensive zone
Danault 65.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 64.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
Larkin
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Larkin
Danault
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
3
Larkin
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
4
Larkin
Danault
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
52.4% (958)
+0.2%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
62.0% (71)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
47.6% (187)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Larkin
Danault
Home
54.7% (783)
51.2% (605)
Away
54.3% (816)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Larkin
Danault
P1
55.9%
53.1%
P2
56.1%
49.8%
P3
51.1%
54.3%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:44 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |