Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Byfield 46.6% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 69.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.9%
70.9%
29.1%
Larkin
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Byfield
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
45.4% (262)
+6.4%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
50.0% (8)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
33.3% (3)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Byfield is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Larkin
Byfield
Home
55.6% (662)
43.0% (114)
Away
48.3% (542)
47.2% (159)
By Period
Larkin
Byfield
P1
49.9%
46.5%
P2
52.7%
41.9%
P3
53.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 2 | 16:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2022 | 1 | 08:23 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |