Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Byfield 48.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 63.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Larkin
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
46.5% (101)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
50.0% (6)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
100.0% (1)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Byfield is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Larkin
Byfield
Home
56.6% (700)
55.0% (40)
Away
52.1% (655)
42.6% (68)
By Period
Larkin
Byfield
P1
55.4%
50.0%
P2
54.7%
48.6%
P3
52.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 1 | 04:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |