Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Byfield shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Byfield 47.9% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Byfield 58.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 64.3%
Neutral zone
Byfield 53.3%
Result
Quinton Byfield favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Larkin
Byfield
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larkin
Byfield
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Byfield
0
1
Larkin
Byfield
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Byfield
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Byfield
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Byfield
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
45.1% (71)
+10.8%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
44.4% (18)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
100.0% (1)
-53.8%
On penalty kill, Byfield has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Byfield shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Byfield is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Larkin
Byfield
Home
56.0% (654)
44.7% (47)
Away
54.8% (639)
46.5% (43)
By Period
Larkin
Byfield
P1
54.4%
55.6%
P2
55.9%
47.1%
P3
55.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Byfield
66.0%▲
56.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Quinton Byfield |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Quinton Byfield |