Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Hintz 58.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 53.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Larkin
Hintz
Last 7: Larkin 3-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
58.7% (530)
-7.0%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
59.4% (170)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
66.7% (27)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
52.4% (647)
60.2% (354)
Away
52.7% (643)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
52.2%
58.4%
P2
53.1%
59.8%
P3
51.7%
58.2%
OT
61.3%
81.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |