Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 53.9%). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Hintz 53.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 57.5%
Defensive zone
Hintz 57.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.4%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Larkin
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Larkin
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
53.6% (711)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
53.8% (93)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
58.7% (46)
-2.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
54.7% (783)
52.6% (460)
Away
54.3% (816)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
55.9%
59.0%
P2
56.1%
52.7%
P3
51.1%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
20.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%