Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 56.2%). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Hintz 55.3% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 57.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 51.8%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larkin
Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
56.3% (512)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
63.3% (30)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
45.8% (24)
+0.4%
On power play, Hintz has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
56.0% (654)
57.3% (262)
Away
54.8% (639)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
54.4%
54.8%
P2
55.9%
56.0%
P3
55.2%
57.5%
OT
64.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |