Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Hintz 53.8% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 22-22 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 53.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
22
(44 meetings)
22
22
Larkin
Hintz
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
3
13
Larkin
Hintz
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
5
Larkin
Hintz
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
4
Larkin
Hintz
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
53.8% (3,722)
-2.1%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
55.4% (567)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
52.9% (221)
-2.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
54.0% (6,238)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
52.7%
55.5%
P2
53.1%
53.9%
P3
52.1%
52.7%
OT
58.4%
49.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |