Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 53.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Hintz 52.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 62.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 64.7%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larkin
Hintz
Last 5: Larkin 3-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Larkin
Hintz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.9% (526)
-1.1%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
57.4% (108)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
42.5% (40)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
55.6% (662)
53.8% (329)
Away
48.3% (542)
52.2% (345)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
49.9%
55.6%
P2
52.7%
53.0%
P3
53.0%
51.7%
OT
68.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |