Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Hintz 51.6% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 53.4%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Larkin
Hintz
Last 7: Larkin 5-2 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
52.6% (439)
+1.0%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
37.9% (29)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
63.6% (11)
-14.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
56.6% (700)
53.5% (256)
Away
52.1% (655)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
55.4%
59.5%
P2
54.7%
49.2%
P3
52.7%
47.1%
OT
59.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 16:26 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 13:40 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |