Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Hintz 49.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 61.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.1%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.0%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Larkin
Hintz
Last 6: Larkin 2-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hintz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
51.6% (285)
-0.6%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
44.0% (50)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
30.0% (10)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
54.9% (721)
52.3% (176)
Away
49.6% (641)
47.3% (169)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
52.4%
48.2%
P2
50.8%
53.4%
P3
54.4%
48.2%
OT
43.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2020 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |