Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 49.3%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Hintz 49.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hintz 50.8%
Neutral zone
Hintz 51.5%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Larkin
Hintz
Last 8: Larkin 5-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
1
2
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
47.8% (383)
+1.7%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
55.8% (43)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
55.8% (43)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
48.5% (388)
51.6% (248)
Away
50.6% (342)
46.6% (221)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
52.1%
49.3%
P2
46.9%
53.2%
P3
49.2%
44.9%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 08:16 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:05 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:40 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 01:50 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |