Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hartman on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Hartman 45.3% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Hartman leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hartman 74.0%
Defensive zone
Hartman 77.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 71.7%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
Larkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Larkin
Hartman
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
3
4
Larkin
Hartman
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
3
Larkin
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
2
4
Larkin
Hartman
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
44.8% (936)
+7.0%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
49.4% (154)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
33.3% (54)
+14.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hartman
Home
55.6% (662)
47.4% (568)
Away
48.3% (542)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Larkin
Hartman
P1
49.9%
47.2%
P2
52.7%
43.4%
P3
53.0%
43.8%
OT
68.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | OT | 02:00 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 00:23 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 15:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 14, 2022 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |