Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Hartman 48.1% (+6.7%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 52.9%
Defensive zone
Hartman 51.4%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.1%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Larkin
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
48.1% (520)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
44.7% (47)
+16.0%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
47.8% (23)
+8.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hartman
Home
54.7% (783)
48.3% (360)
Away
54.3% (816)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Larkin
Hartman
P1
55.9%
48.5%
P2
56.1%
45.2%
P3
51.1%
49.6%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%