Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Hartman 44.0% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 68.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 70.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Larkin
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
42.6% (495)
+11.0%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
38.5% (26)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
48.8% (43)
-0.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Hartman is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hartman
Home
56.6% (700)
43.4% (288)
Away
52.1% (655)
42.4% (276)
By Period
Larkin
Hartman
P1
55.4%
43.1%
P2
54.7%
43.4%
P3
52.7%
42.0%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 05:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |