Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Strome 45.2% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 54.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.3%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
44.2% (267)
+7.5%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
37.0% (27)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
50.0% (4)
-1.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
52.4% (647)
42.0% (157)
Away
52.7% (643)
45.4% (141)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
52.2%
40.0%
P2
53.1%
46.4%
P3
51.7%
44.0%
OT
61.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:47 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |