Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Strome 45.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 56.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 53.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 55.8%
Result
Ryan Strome favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Larkin
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Larkin
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Larkin
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
44.1% (749)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
46.2% (52)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
52.9% (17)
-5.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Larkin
Strome
Home
55.6% (662)
45.1% (441)
Away
48.3% (542)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Larkin
Strome
P1
49.9%
42.9%
P2
52.7%
44.4%
P3
53.0%
45.8%
OT
68.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |