Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 72.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 65.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Larkin
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
48.9% (352)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
81.3% (16)
-25.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
42.2% (45)
+5.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Larkin
Carrick
Home
55.6% (662)
46.9% (192)
Away
48.3% (542)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Larkin
Carrick
P1
49.9%
48.1%
P2
52.7%
50.0%
P3
53.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%