Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Carrick 49.5% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 61.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Larkin
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
49.2% (307)
+4.4%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
66.7% (6)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
48.2% (56)
+0.5%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Larkin
Carrick
Home
56.6% (700)
50.3% (175)
Away
52.1% (655)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Larkin
Carrick
P1
55.4%
41.0%
P2
54.7%
51.2%
P3
52.7%
55.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |