Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Aho 52.4% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 54.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Larkin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
15
(24 meetings)
9
15
Larkin
Aho
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
Aho
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
6
Larkin
Aho
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
5
Larkin
Aho
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
52.4% (622)
-2.9%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
60.7% (28)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
52.4% (42)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Larkin
Aho
Home
48.5% (388)
54.9% (359)
Away
50.6% (342)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Larkin
Aho
P1
52.1%
51.6%
P2
46.9%
53.3%
P3
49.2%
52.7%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 12:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:02 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:00 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 06:49 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:09 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:11 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |