Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+19.8%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 52.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Larkin
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
37.5% (24)
+16.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
0.0% (1)
+59.3%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
0.0% (1)
+48.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +59.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Jarvis is 26.3% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Larkin
Jarvis
Home
56.6% (700)
38.5% (13)
Away
52.1% (655)
30.8% (13)
By Period
Larkin
Jarvis
P1
55.4%
40.0%
P2
54.7%
20.0%
P3
52.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.6%