Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Jarvis 40.5% (+20.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 57.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 91.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Larkin
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Jarvis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
32.1% (81)
+20.5%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
38.6% (57)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
28.6% (14)
+27.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Larkin is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (567).
Larkin shoots left. Jarvis is 29.6% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Larkin
Jarvis
Home
54.7% (783)
40.6% (69)
Away
54.3% (816)
28.9% (83)
By Period
Larkin
Jarvis
P1
55.9%
30.9%
P2
56.1%
30.6%
P3
51.1%
47.1%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
28.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
34.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |