Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Jarvis 46.8% (+10.1%)
Offensive zone
Jarvis 61.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Larkin
Jarvis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
44.2% (52)
+7.5%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
33.3% (6)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
40.0% (15)
+8.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Jarvis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Home / Away
Larkin
Jarvis
Home
52.4% (647)
43.6% (39)
Away
52.7% (643)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Larkin
Jarvis
P1
52.2%
37.5%
P2
53.1%
48.3%
P3
51.7%
38.9%
OT
61.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
42.5%