Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Thompson 41.2% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 17-5 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 96.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 89.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 95.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 95.0%
95.0%
5.0%
Larkin
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
5
(22 meetings)
17
5
Larkin
Thompson
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
1
Larkin
Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
3
Larkin
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
40.6% (801)
+11.2%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
44.7% (103)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
31.0% (71)
+16.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Larkin
Thompson
Home
55.6% (662)
43.2% (507)
Away
48.3% (542)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Larkin
Thompson
P1
49.9%
37.7%
P2
52.7%
43.4%
P3
53.0%
39.5%
OT
68.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2022 | OT | 01:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 14:28 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:53 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 27, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |