Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 51.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Karlsson 51.5% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.3%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 57.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Larkin
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
51.4% (735)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
63.5% (115)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
42.9% (133)
+4.5%
On power play, Karlsson has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Karlsson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Larkin
Karlsson
Home
55.6% (662)
52.3% (524)
Away
48.3% (542)
51.0% (459)
By Period
Larkin
Karlsson
P1
49.9%
50.7%
P2
52.7%
51.4%
P3
53.0%
53.2%
OT
68.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
49.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.7%